The Clinton Days, the Good Old Days

Remember back when everything was peaches and cream, skittles and beer, fun without end?  Remember those carefree Clinton years?

Since the Blame Bush crowd seems to be out in force in reaction to the North Korean nuclear tests, perhaps it’s time to do a little reminiscing.

FreeRepublic remembers[*1] a news story from the year 2000[*2] :

North Korea’s nuclear production capacity will increase from a dozen nuclear bombs a year to 65 a year by 2010, thanks in large part to American taxpayer money, two renowned U.S. nuclear scientists told congressional leaders last week (April, 2000).
. . .
But an aid policy initiated by the Clinton administration in the mid-1990s to finance two light water nuclear reactors in North Korea puts the isolated communist country on the fast track in the manufacture of nuclear weapons, William R. Graham and Victor Gilinsky told members of the House Policy Committee.

North Korea’s missile proliferation has accelerated dramatically since the Clinton-Gore administration began giving aid to the regime in 1994.

“There were no known No-dong missile sales abroad until after the United States signed the so-called Agreed Framework with North Korea,” House Speaker Dennis Hastert’s North Korea advisory group reported.

But since U.S. aid began, the communist state has sold crucial technology to Iran for the Shahab missile that now threatens U.S. forces and their allies in the Middle East, and for a Pakistani missile in 1998 that disrupted the fragile stability of South Asia.

In 1994 the Clinton administration signed an agreement with North Korea that was designed to halt North Korea’s nuclear weapons development program. North Korea sought light water reactors to provide for their energy needs and the U.S. agreed to provide them in exchange for North Korea giving up its nuclear program.

Western aid also earned donor countries the right to inspect the North Korean nuclear facilities.

The U.S. believed the plutonium produced would have to be refined before it could be used for weapons grade plutonium, said Chuck Downs, a leading North Korea expert and author of “Over the Line: North Korea’s Negotiating Strategy,” in an interview with CNSNews.com. But even though the plutonium wasn’t the same yield as that used by the U.S. and some NATO countries, it could still be used to make nuclear weapons, he said.

For the past six years the United States has been trying to put in place two 1,000-megawatt light water reactors in North Korea.

The Clinton administration gambled that construction would take so long that North Korea would collapse politically and economically before the reactors were put in place, Downs said.

“As things have turned out, North Korea has received $380 million in aid from various countries last year, $210 million of it from the U.S., and that is enough to satisfy the needs of their regime. So the regime is roaring drunk and not at all collapsing,” Downs said.

When they are in place in 2010, the light water reactors will give the North Koreans 490 kilograms of plutonium every year, allowing them to build 60 to 100 nuclear weapons a year.

“The kinds of facilities that existed in 1994 could only have produced two bombs a year and the kind they conceived [before U.S. aid] a dozen a year,” Downs said.

We can deal with the here and now, or we can argue pointlessly over who’s more to blame for how we got here.  Diplomacy has been famously called “saying ‘nice doggie’ long enough to reach for a stick.”

The time for saying “nice doggie” has past.  The only relevant discussion now is, what stick should we use?